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10-Year Treasury Yield Drops to 4.98% Ahead of Fed Decision

By Markets Desk · 2026-09-16 · 1 min read
A stack of physical government bond certificates resting on a wooden desk next to a brass pocket watch
Illustration: Tradingbird

US government bond prices rose as yields retreated from multi-year highs. The market awaits the Federal Reserve's policy update.

The 10-year US Treasury yield fell by 0.5% to 4.98% during the Asian session. This marked a correction from the recent peak near 5.04%. The move reversed part of the sharp rally seen earlier in the week.

Investors paused their buying after warnings regarding artificial intelligence infrastructure costs. Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, cited real dangers in the sector. These comments dampened the optimism that had driven yields higher.

AI investment concerns shift market sentiment

Concerns over high spending in the AI sector reduced demand for bonds. Hyperscalers plan to issue significant debt to fund these projects. Goldman Sachs estimates these companies will issue $250 billion in bonds in 2026.

An additional $400 billion in issuance is expected in 2027. This total exceeds the $108 billion issued in 2025. The increased supply of government debt had previously pushed yields up.

Federal Reserve maintains tightening path

The Federal Reserve is expected to raise rates by 25 basis points later today. The new target range will be 3.75% to 4.00%. BNY strategists believe this hike will occur as part of a broader tightening cycle.

Markets currently price in roughly 100 basis points of rate hikes this year. BNY notes that while these hikes are likely, the path to higher rates faces obstacles. They suggest that short-term yields may already be ahead of where they need to be.

Data source confirms yield movements

GN auto markets/bonds: treasury yields reported the shift in pricing. The data reflects the immediate reaction to the AI sector news. Traders are now waiting for the official policy statement to gauge future direction.

Based on reporting by FXStreet, compiled by the Tradingbird desk.

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