Fitch Upgrades Portugal to A+ as Debt Forecast Drops to 82.9%

Fitch raised Portugal's sovereign rating to A+ with a stable outlook. Public debt is projected to fall from 89.7% of GDP in 2025 to 82.9% by 2028.
Key points
- Fitch upgraded Portugal's rating to A+ with a stable outlook, matching France and Belgium.
- Public debt is projected to fall from 89.7% of GDP in 2025 to 82.9% in 2028.
- Fitch cites improved economic resilience and fiscal prudence as primary drivers of the upgrade.
Fitch upgraded Portugal's sovereign credit rating to A+ with a stable outlook. This move places the country on par with France and Belgium. Only six Eurozone members now hold a higher rating.
The agency cites stronger public finances and prudent fiscal policies for the decision. Public debt is expected to decline from 89.7% of GDP in 2025. It should reach 82.9% by 2028, according to Fitch.
Debt reduction drives the rating upgrade
Fitch highlights the downward trajectory of public debt as a key factor. The agency notes that Portugal has improved its economic resilience. This capacity to absorb shocks was absent during the sovereign debt crisis.
Governments of different political orientations have maintained focus on public accounts. They have consistently prioritized debt reduction over the last decade. This sustained discipline has created a significant structural reform.
Southern Europe reshapes its financial standing
Portugal, Spain, and Greece no longer symbolize financial fragility in southern Europe. Markets now value their debt dynamics positively. Some large European economies face increasing difficulties in comparison.
Investors assess the direction of a country's economy as much as its size. They look beyond current income and productivity levels. The consistent trajectory toward fiscal stability drives their confidence.
Productivity remains a critical growth constraint
Fitch identifies low productivity as a limitation to potential growth. The country still needs more investment and larger companies. Better wages and innovation are essential for long-term progress.
The A+ rating is not a final destination for policymakers. It reflects a better financial position for facing future challenges. The Portugal News notes that maintaining this credibility is the next responsibility.






