Capesize C3 Freight Hits Multi-Year High as Orders Surge

The Baltic Capesize Index jumped 950 points to 6,286. C3 Tubarão–Qingdao freight reached a multi-year high, driven by demand outpacing supply in the Atlantic.
The Baltic Capesize Index rose by 950 points to 6,286. Average C5TC earnings increased by $8,612 to $53,508 per day. The Baltic Dry Index advanced to 3,628 points. All four vessel classes recorded positive momentum this week.
The C3 Tubarão–Qingdao route led the market gains. Freight rates climbed by $3.19 to $41.55 per metric ton. This level is approximately 70% above the September 2025 average. The rally reflects expanding demand rather than constrained vessel availability.
Atlantic Demand Outpaces Supply
Tubarao–China sailings reached 127 from January to August. This figure represents a 15% increase over the 110 sailings recorded in 2025. The monthly cadence exceeded 2024 levels in seven of the eight months. Northern Ponta da Madeira sailings declined to 234 from 256 in 2025.
Longer-haul southern cargo keeps Capesize vessels employed for more tonne-days. This tightens the Atlantic market without a headline volume surge. Cumulative supply on the C3 route now sits below expected demand. A week earlier, the route showed a slight late surplus.
Newbuilding Orders Exceed Previous Years
Capesize newbuilding orders reached 123 vessels in 2026. This total exceeds the 103 vessels ordered in 2024 and 115 in 2025. Chinese yards account for approximately 117 of these orders. The increase signals renewed owner confidence in the segment.
Shipyard delivery schedules limit the near-term impact on Atlantic availability. The additional supply will affect fleet capacity over the longer term. Hellenic Shipping News notes that current market strength is demand-driven. Open tonnage rose in every segment week-on-week.
Global Ballaster Counts Rise
The global Capesize ballaster count increased by 9% to 624. Australasia saw a 17% rise to 234 vessels. The South Atlantic grew by 17% to 54 vessels. The North Atlantic increased by 16% to 36 vessels.
Supramax ballasters rose by 24% to 772 vessels. Panamax ballasters increased by 10% to 820 vessels. Handysize ballasters grew by 9% to 714 vessels. Demand is running at 103.50 versus a year ago. Supply is at 98.36, maintaining a demand-to-supply pace of 1.05.






