Bitcoin Prediction Markets Price $76,000 Threshold at 61 Percent
Traders on Robinhood assign a 61% probability to Bitcoin reaching $76,000 by September 16, 2026.
Bitcoin prediction markets value the $76,000 threshold at 61 cents. This implies a 61 percent chance of hitting that level. The contract settles at 9:00 AM EDT on September 16, 2026. Price data comes from the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index.
Higher strike prices command lower premiums. The $76,100 level trades at 47 cents. The $76,200 level trades at 31 cents. The $76,300 level trades at 19 cents. Lower strike prices command higher premiums. The $75,900 level trades at 76 cents.
Market Structure and Pricing
These contracts trade 24 hours a day. A daily pause occurs from 3:00 AM to 5:00 AM ET on Thursdays. Users can close positions before expiration. Payouts typically arrive within one hour of resolution. The final price is the average of the last 60 RTI quotes.
Related Asset Predictions
Similar markets exist for other cryptocurrencies. Solana targets a specific price on the same date. BNB has a 15-minute target of $713.09. Ethereum and HYPE have range and direction contracts. XRP markets focus on 2026 price highs.
Regulatory and Trading Constraints
Employees of source agencies cannot trade these contracts. Holders of material non-public information are prohibited from trading. Robinhood Derivatives offers these event contracts. They trade through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, and other exchanges. Standard financial risks apply to all participants.
