Ethereum Prediction Contracts Show 87 Percent Probability for 2,490 Dollar Threshold
The market for Ethereum price on September 12, 2026, assigns an 87 percent probability to a close above $2,490. This figure leads a steep drop-off in odds for higher price targets.
The single most significant data point is the 87-cent price for the $2,490 strike. This indicates a high confidence level for the asset clearing that specific level. The contract expires on September 12, 2026, at 5:00 p.m. EDT.
The next tier, $2,530, trades at 62 cents. The probability drops sharply to 28 cents for the $2,570 threshold. The highest listed target, $2,610, commands only 10 cents. These figures reflect the current distribution of market expectations.
Market Structure And Pricing Mechanics
According to GN markets/crypto (en-US), the resolution mechanism relies on CF Benchmarks. The system collects 60 Real Time Index prices in the final minute. The final value is the average of these samples. Traders receive one dollar per correct contract upon resolution.
Trading Availability And Restrictions
These instruments trade 24 hours a day. There is a daily pause from 3:00 a.m. to 5:00 a.m. Eastern Time on Thursdays. The contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC. They utilize exchanges such as KalshiEX and North American Derivatives Exchange.
Comparative Context In Crypto Markets
Similar markets exist for Bitcoin, Solana, and BNB. Traders can also target specific monthly highs and lows for these assets. The Ethereum market sits alongside these options in the broader prediction category. This allows for cross-asset comparison of price expectations.
