Touchscreen MacBook Odds Hit 60% on Polymarket

Prediction markets price a 60% chance of an Apple touchscreen MacBook launch by year-end, following strong iPhone 18 sales.
Polymarket prices a 60% probability that Apple Inc. will release a touchscreen MacBook by December 31. The odds reached an all-time high of 86% earlier this week before retreating. This shift follows the unveiling of the iPhone 18 lineup and the new foldable iPhone Duo.
Binance founder Changpeng Zhao publicly endorsed the new hardware for financial monitoring. He stated the iPhone Duo is suitable for charting and shared a screenshot of the BNB/USDT price. Apple shares closed 3.56% higher at $326.57 on Thursday, according to Benzinga Pro.
Foldable iPhone Duo Launch Details
The iPhone Duo starts at $1,999 with a 7.6-inch inner display. The 5.4-inch outer display covers about 90% of the iPhone 18 Pro screen area. Preorders open on October 16, with retail availability beginning October 23.
Investor Gary Black predicts the device will trigger a new upgrade cycle. He expects the phone to substantially increase Apple’s average selling price. This hardware expansion aims to capture users seeking larger mobile interfaces.
Market Reaction and Historical Context
Apple co-founder Steve Jobs previously rejected touchscreen computers as ergonomically poor. His stance contrasts with the current market speculation. The 60% prediction probability indicates a significant shift in investor expectations for Apple’s product roadmap.
Apple stock fell 0.24% in after-hours trading despite the daily gain. The ticker shows a strong trend across short, medium, and long-term periods. Data from GN markets/crypto (en-US) highlights the continued influence of hardware launches on equity performance.
Price Trends and Analyst Views
Benzinga’s Edge Stock Rankings identify AAPL as having a robust price trend. The recent 3.56% gain reflects positive sentiment around the new product cycle. Market participants are closely watching for any official confirmation from Apple regarding laptop interface changes.






