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ECB set for 25 basis point rate hike in September

By Markets Desk · 2026-09-09 · Updated 2026-09-09 17:51 UTC
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Illustration: Tradingbird

Market expectations center on the ECB raising rates to 2.50 percent in September, but ING analysts suggest the move will be accompanied by a dovish tone that challenges current hawkish pricing. This shift could pressure the euro, with the bank likely avoiding a more restrictive narrative given recent improvements in core inflation and economic growth.

  • ING analysts, cited by Hellenic Shipping News, warn that the market is currently overpricing the ECB's hawkish stance, predicting a dovish September hike that could dampen the euro against the dollar. They argue that core inflation has cooled and growth has been resilient, suggesting the bank is unlikely to signal further aggressive tightening beyond the current 2.50 percent level.

    Source: Hellenic Shipping News
  • European Central Bank officials are preparing to raise the deposit rate to 2.50 percent. This move aims to counter rising energy costs and prevent broader inflationary pressure.

    Source: GN markets/policy (en-US)
Based on reporting by GN markets/policy (en-US) and Hellenic Shipping News, compiled by the Tradingbird desk.

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