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US CPI Rises 0.4% in August Ahead of Fed Meeting

By Markets Desk · 2026-09-12 · 1 min read
A residential front door with a mailbox attached to the side
Illustration: Tradingbird

Consumer prices beat expectations, complicating the path to the Federal Reserve's September decision.

US consumer prices rose 0.4% in August. This monthly increase exceeded market forecasts. The annual inflation rate held steady at 3.4%. The data adds pressure on the Federal Reserve. The central bank meets on September 15 and 16.

Gasoline prices climbed 3.9% during the month. This sector drove more than one-third of the total gain. Core inflation, excluding food and energy, rose 0.3%. The core annual rate stands at 2.4%. Shelter costs increased 0.3% in August.

Housing affordability faces new pressures

Rents and owners' equivalent rent both rose 0.2%. These figures track housing costs, not sale prices. Florida Realtors notes that higher daily expenses reduce buying power. Buyers have less budget for mortgage payments. Sellers must price homes to match current affordability.

Fed decision likely to impact rates

The strong core CPI reading suggests a rate hike. Economists expect the Fed to raise benchmark interest rates. This move aims to cool price growth. Mortgage rates may not rise immediately. Treasury yields and bond demand also drive these rates.

Mortgage rates remain elevated

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate hit 6.76%. This is up from 6.71% the previous week. The 15-year rate rose to 6.09%. A Fed hike could stabilize bond markets. Some experts believe this might lower mortgage rates.

The Fed announces its decision on September 16. This is the final major data point before the meeting. Market participants await the official statement. The outcome will guide future economic policy.

Based on reporting by floridarealtors.org, compiled by the Tradingbird desk.

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