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Dollar Holds 98.8 Before Inflation Data

By Markets Desk · 2026-09-10 · 1 min read
A stack of US dollar bills resting on a wooden desk next to a calculator
Illustration: Tradingbird

The dollar index steadied at 98.8 on Thursday. Markets price a 60% chance of a rate hike next week.

The dollar index held steady at 98.8 on Thursday. The currency paused its recent decline. Investors wait for new economic data. These figures will guide Federal Reserve policy decisions.

The US producer price index for August releases later today. The consumer inflation report follows on Friday. Weekly jobless claims and existing home sales data also arrive today. These metrics provide a broader view of economic health.

Rate Hike Expectations Rise

Markets price a 60% probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike. This expectation follows stronger-than-expected jobs data. Traders anticipate the Federal Reserve will act next week. The probability reflects current market sentiment.

Treasury yields surged on new government plans. The Treasury Department announced a buyback of up to $6 billion in longer-term debt. This amount is three times the usual volume. Some investors still viewed the move as insufficient.

Oil Prices Climb On Tensions

Oil prices moved higher on Thursday. The US-Iran conflict intensified during the week. These geopolitical tensions stoke inflation concerns. Higher energy costs strengthen expectations for near-term rate hikes.

Market Context From GN Markets

GN markets reports these shifts in currency and yield movements. The data highlights the interplay between fiscal policy and monetary expectations. Investors remain focused on upcoming inflation releases. The next few days will clarify the path for interest rates.

Based on reporting by GN markets/inflation (en-US), compiled by the Tradingbird desk.

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