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XRP Prediction Market Odds Hit 98 Percent for $1.32 Threshold

By Markets Desk · 2026-09-13 · 1 min read
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Illustration: Tradingbird

Traders assign a 98 percent probability to XRP holding above $1.31991 by September 2026. The market prices a near-certain outcome for the lowest strike level. Higher targets see a sharp drop in implied probability.

The probability of XRP trading at or above $1.31991 stands at 98 percent. This figure represents the highest confidence level in the current prediction market. The contract resolves on September 13, 2026, at 9:00 AM EDT. The price is determined by the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index.

The next strike price of $1.33991 carries a 61 percent probability. This indicates a significant drop in market confidence for the higher threshold. The $1.35991 level has only a 2 percent chance of being met. The final listed strike at $1.39991 holds a 1 percent probability.

Market Mechanics and Resolution Rules

The outcome depends on the average price over the final 60 seconds. Traders can close their positions before the event resolves. Payouts typically occur within one hour of resolution. The market trades 24 hours a day with a daily maintenance pause.

Source Data and Market Context

GN markets/crypto (en-US) reports these figures from the Robinhood platform. The data reflects real-time betting odds on asset price levels. Other cryptocurrencies like Solana and Ethereum have similar contracts. These markets allow traders to bet on specific price targets.

Based on reporting by Robinhood, compiled by the Tradingbird desk.

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