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2027 Social Security COLA Projected at 3.6% Pending September Data

By Markets Desk · · Updated 2026-09-23 14:53 UTC
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With September inflation data due on October 14, estimates for the 2027 Social Security COLA are converging between 3.4% and 3.6%. While AARP holds its projection at 3.6%, the Senior Citizens League has adjusted its forecast down to 3.5% following the latest August CPI-W readings.

  • Fox Business reports that the Senior Citizens League has slightly lowered its forecast to 3.5%, while CRFB sits at the lower end of the 3.4%-3.6% range. Shannon Benton of TSCL notes that the final data point arrives on October 14, with the group watching for short-term economic shocks that could shift the calculation.

    Source: Fox Business

  • AARP projects a 3.6% cost-of-living adjustment for 2027, with September inflation as the final variable.

    Source: TradingView
Based on reporting by TradingView and Fox Business, compiled by the Tradingbird desk.

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