NewsTradingSentimentCalendarCommunityBriefing
Markets

Goldman Sachs Forecasts October Fed Rate Hike

By Markets Desk · 2026-09-17 · Updated 2026-09-17 05:20 UTC · 1 min read
A wooden gavel resting on a polished desk surface
Illustration: Tradingbird

Goldman Sachs has shifted its outlook to expect a 25 basis point rate hike in October, while Bitcoin remains stable around the $76,000 level.

Goldman Sachs now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in October. This marks a sharp reversal from the bank’s previous forecast, which called for a September hike followed by a pause. The change follows the Fed’s decision on Wednesday to lift its benchmark rate to a target range of 3.75% to 4.00%.

The shift aligns with recent data showing a strong majority of policymakers expect at least one more rate increase this year. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh described inflation as too high during the post-meeting press conference. He stated that the latest move only removed a dose of accommodation, implying policy remains insufficiently restrictive.

Market pricing reflects caution

Traders currently assign just over a 50 percent probability to another 25 basis point hike in October. This figure comes from the CME FedWatch tool, which tracks market expectations for central bank actions. The uncertainty suggests investors remain divided on the pace of further tightening.

Bitcoin remains stable

Bitcoin trades near $76,260 as of this writing. The asset is up 0.5 percent on a 24-hour basis. This stability persists despite the hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve regarding future monetary policy.

Source context for the data

The information was reported by coindesk.com, a digital asset news outlet. The report highlights the intersection of traditional macroeconomic policy and cryptocurrency market movements. It underscores how Fed decisions continue to influence broader financial sentiment.

Bitcoin remains stable amid Fed pivot

The crypto market has shown resilience despite the shifting monetary policy landscape, with Bitcoin holding firm near the $76,000 mark. This stability persists even as major financial institutions reassess their expectations for upcoming Federal Reserve actions.

The digital asset's ability to maintain its price point suggests that investors are currently absorbing the news of the bank's revised forecast without significant panic selling. This steady performance highlights a degree of decoupling between traditional macroeconomic signals and immediate Bitcoin price movements.

Based on reporting by coindesk.com and CoinDesk, compiled by the Tradingbird desk.

More from the Markets desk

All desk stories