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Fitness trackers consistently overestimate calorie burn

By Tech Desk · 2026-09-09 · 2 min read
A smartwatch face resting on a wooden desk next to a water bottle
Illustration: Tradingbird

New research suggests that relying on wrist-worn devices for dietary planning may lead to significant miscalculations in energy intake.

A recent study conducted by researchers at Florida International University reveals that popular fitness watches frequently overestimate the number of calories a person burns during exercise. The team tested devices from Apple, Garmin, Samsung, and Fitbit against precise clinical laboratory equipment to determine their accuracy. The results showed that error rates often ranged between 15 and 25 percent, indicating that the numbers displayed on these screens should not be treated as exact measurements.

Jason Kostrna, an associate professor of kinesiology and exercise science at FIU and the study’s lead author, warned that users can easily fall into a calorie surplus while believing they are in a deficit. Because the devices consistently report higher energy expenditure than what actually occurs, individuals may unconsciously eat more than they burn. This discrepancy can accumulate over weeks, undermining weight management goals without the user realizing the source of the error.

Device accuracy varies significantly

The research highlighted notable differences in performance among the major brands. Apple devices emerged as the most accurate in the group, while Garmin and Samsung models tended to overestimate calorie burn the most. These variations suggest that no single device provides a universal standard for energy expenditure tracking. Consumers who rely heavily on specific brands for their health data should be aware that their particular device may have a distinct bias in its calculations.

Body composition affects measurement error

The study also found that individual physical traits influence the magnitude of the error. Specifically, the higher a person's body fat percentage, the greater the discrepancy between the watch's estimate and the actual calories burned. This finding is particularly relevant for those using fitness trackers to manage weight, as they are the demographic most likely to depend on these figures for dietary adjustments. The technology struggles to account for individual metabolic differences with sufficient precision.

Practical implications for health tracking

While smartwatches remain useful tools for monitoring activity levels and general health trends, researchers advise caution when using them for precise nutritional planning. The data should be viewed as a rough guide rather than a definitive metric. Users are encouraged to supplement device data with other methods of assessment, such as consulting with a dietitian or using more comprehensive health evaluations. The goal is to prevent the subtle but cumulative impact of inaccurate data on long-term health outcomes.

According to GN auto tech/wearables: fitness tracker, the consensus among experts is that these devices are best used for tracking relative changes over time rather than absolute values. By understanding the inherent limitations of current wearable technology, users can make more informed decisions about their health and avoid the pitfalls of over-reliance on digital estimates. The study serves as a reminder that human biology is complex, and simple algorithms may not capture the full picture of energy expenditure.

Based on reporting by GN auto tech/wearables: fitness tracker, compiled by the Tradingbird desk.

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