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Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Maintain 30-Day Profit Streak

By Markets Desk · 2026-09-15 · 2 min read
A single digital coin resting on a smooth, reflective surface
Illustration: Tradingbird

Bitcoin short-term holders have maintained positive returns for 30 consecutive days, marking the longest sustained period since the market top. This shift signals a potential transition from bearish to bullish market conditions.

Bitcoin short-term holders have remained in profit for 30 consecutive days. This marks the longest sustained period of positive returns since the recent market peak. According to onchain data, $168.2 billion in short-term holdings are currently above their acquisition cost. Meanwhile, $102.6 billion of these holdings remain below their purchase price. The ratio of profitable to underwater assets has shifted in favor of gains.

This trend breaks a pattern observed in previous months. In January, short-term holders held profits for only one week before reversing course. In May, losses remained dominant across the cohort. The current 30-day streak is the first extended period of profitability since the market top. Analysts view this as a critical prerequisite for a broader price recovery. Historically, sustained short-term gains precede long-term uptrends in Bitcoin cycles.

Short-term holder behavior shifts

Short-term holders are defined as wallets holding coins for less than six months. These investors react quickly to price volatility. They adjust their exposure more frequently than long-term holders. The current profit streak indicates that these active traders are holding their positions. This behavior suggests confidence in continued price appreciation. It reduces the immediate selling pressure that typically caps rallies.

Cointelegraph previously reported that the spent output profit ratio passed its breakeven level on August 19. The metric has remained above 1.0 since that date. This indicates that the average Bitcoin sold is being sold at a profit. The broader investor base is currently realizing gains. This aligns with the specific trends seen in the short-term holder cohort.

Cost basis varies by wallet age

Profitability is currently driven by wallets holding assets for one to three months. This cohort has a cost basis of $63,372. The more mature short-term segment holds assets for three to six months. Their cost basis is higher, at $73,190. The lower cost basis of newer buyers contributes significantly to the aggregate profit figure. This structural advantage supports the current positive net flow of realized profits.

The divergence in cost bases highlights the layered nature of short-term holdings. Newer participants enter at lower prices and realize gains as prices rise. Older short-term holders break even at higher levels. The current price action allows the largest subset of short-term investors to remain in the green. This dynamic supports the thesis of a strengthening bull market.

Based on reporting by Cointelegraph, compiled by the Tradingbird desk.

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